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The question is not unreasonable. Not long ago, the author learned from the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Planning Institute that at present, China's methanol construction projects are about 6 million to 7 million tons, while other statistics and reports on the construction of methanol projects reached more than 13 million tons. The statistical results have actually doubled! This is still a statistic of the projects under construction, not to mention the planned projects that are still under planning. What are the reasons? After understanding, the author believes that there are three major reasons for statistical differences:
First, it is doubtful whether the planning project can be implemented. Now there have been individual methanol projects that have started construction and have been shut down for various reasons. For example, a 200,000-ton/year methanol project in Suihua, Shaanxi Province, was stopped after only half of the construction. The reason for the suspension was divergent. Although such matters are only a few of the projects under construction, they have caused trouble for the accurate statistics of numbers. For the project to be built, due to the uncertainty of the future market, there will certainly be many projects that are ultimately unacceptable or not.
The second is that some companies have exaggerated their projects and caused statistical data to be inaccurate. For example, a mining group in a province in China announced plans to build a 5.4 million tons/year methanol project. In fact, at present, the largest new methanol plant in the world is only 3 million tons/year. Recently, some major methanol plants in the world plan to start the methanol project is only 840,000 tons / year, 1.8 million tons / year and so on. Therefore, the 5.4 million-ton/year methanol project says that at best it is only an idea. Even if the total capacity of multiple units is 5.4 million tons, it will be constrained by resources and markets. It is also unknown whether this can be achieved.
Third, in order to obtain coal mining rights, some enterprises occupies resources, and a series of coal downstream development projects are listed in the project feasibility demonstration report. The methanol project bears the brunt. It is understood that due to frequent safety incidents, China has implemented relatively stringent control measures for coal mining. Therefore, in order to obtain mining rights, some companies have tried to make the project bigger. However, once the coal mining rights have been obtained, downstream projects have disappeared due to various reasons. At present, domestic applications for methanol projects for this reason account for a small amount of methanol to be built.
An enterprise manager believes that at present, there is a strange phenomenon in China's methanol project: Some companies are rushing to the methanol project to occupy resources; some projects are only started without construction; and propaganda hype makes the public mistaken for large methanol projects. Many work starts.
In fact, how much of the "moisture" of a methanol project will ultimately depend on how much the market needs. However, the statistical problems arising from the methanol project exposed the weaknesses in China's basic data statistics work, and also brought certain difficulties for relevant departments and investors to make correct decisions.
Chemical City Review: Where is the "Moisture" of the Methanol Project?
According to the rough statistics of the information that has been disclosed in the media, from the beginning of last year to the first half of this year, there have been more than 100 reports on the proposed and ongoing projects for methanol. In the short period of one and a half years, so many projects have swarmed. It is doubtful that there will be a number of projects that will eventually be put into operation within a few years. The personage inside course of study begins to ponder, what is the "moisture" of the methanol project in the end?